GW17 Everton v Swansea

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A bet on the draw is attractive. Although Swansea is ahead by 1 point in the standing, both teams are virtually tie in the bottom half of the table. The prevailing price averages as per posting  are 1.57 for Everton, 3.72 for the draw and 6.36 for Swansea.

My case for the draw; Swansea is one of the runner ups in mustering draws in the league, registered 6 in total, 1 behind Aston Villa. Although the team holds the second from the lowest on goals scored having only 16, 15 is the lowest hold by Wigan Athletic; they were anchoring on goals conceded, the team holds the most cleans sheet, 8 so far. Thanks to Michel Vorm, the current best goal keeper on paper in the EPL.

On the other hand, Everton’s short price for the upcoming match was mainly due to the home stadium and crowd advantage, it will be played at Toffees’ home, Goodison Park. Strengthen by the fact, that Swansea, is one of the two team, who have not registered a win on away matches. 

However, a draw is still alluring as the Swansea’s away games was played as heavily underdog in Stamford Bridge, Anfield, The Etihad and The Emirates. The resiliency of Swansea City F.C. will again be tested  later at Goodison Park. My prediction, an early goal for Swansea will likely lead for a 1-1 draw, though a nil-nil score above 75 minutes will likely produce the same result. In this match, the 3.72 for a draw is more of a value bet than the 1.58 for Everton.